Addressing Uncertainty in MultiSector Dynamics Research

Patrick M. Reed, Antonia Hadjimichael, Keyvan Malek, Tina Karimi, Chris R. Vernon, Vivek Srikrishnan, Rohini S. Gupta, David F. Gold, Ben Lee, Klaus Keller, Travis B. Thurber, Jennie S. Rice

A practical guide to sensitivity analysis and diagnostic model evaluation techniques for confronting the computational and conceptual challenges of multi-model, transdisciplinary workflows.

Topics in the Book

• Preface

• Introduction

• An overview of diagnostic modeling and perspectives on model evaluation

• A framework for the basic methods and concepts used in sensitivity analysis

• Technical applications supporting diagnostic model evaluation and exploration

Interactive Tutorials

• Factor Discovery

• Model Calibration

• Sobol Sensitivity Analysis

• Factor Mapping using Logistic Regression

• Time-evolving scenario discovery for infrastructure pathways

• A Hidden-Markov Modeling Approach to Creating Synthetic Streamflow Scenarios

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